Ferroviário vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
FLO
2 - 1
FER
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
COR
12%
21%
68%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FER
4 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
FLO
50%
22%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
UNI
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
BAR
27%
22%
52%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
FLO
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |