Ferroviário vs EC Limoeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 5
CEA
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 0
FER
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
EC Limoeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 2
QUI
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 4
ICA
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
LIM
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
LIM
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |