Ferroviário vs EC Limoeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
FER
0 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
EC Limoeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 1
HOR
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
6 - 1
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
LIM
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
LIM
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |