Ferroviário vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
SAO
5 - 0
FER
59%
26%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
APA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FFL
2 - 1
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
FER
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 2
LON
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
ABC
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 3
NAU
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
ABC
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
ABC
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |