Ferroviário vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
SAM
41%
27%
31%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 0
FER
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
NAU
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
BOT
31%
28%
42%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 0
SAN
33%
29%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
ABC
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 2
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
TRE
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |