Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 3-17
Ferroviário Huíla vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
37%
22%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |