Ferroviário Nampula vs Baía de Pemba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
FER
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
LIC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
TEX
2 - 1
FER
19%
29%
53%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
DES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HCB
2 - 0
FER
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baía de Pemba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 1
BBM
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 0
BTF
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 1
COS
38%
28%
33%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
BDP
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BDP
2 - 1
TEX
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |