CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-2
Ferroviário Maputo vs AS Vita Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VCL
1 - 0
FER
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
LIG
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
FER
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
FEN
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAX
1 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AS Vita Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VCL
1 - 0
FER
67%
20%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DAU
0 - 3
VCL
42%
29%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +5 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VCL
1 - 0
MAF
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 6 | 65 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 3
VCL
3%
10%
87%
|
71 | 6 | 65 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
VCL
2 - 0
MKE
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |