Ferroviário Maputo vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 1
FER
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BDP
2 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
BBM
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 0
FER
41%
30%
29%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FER
4 - 0
FEN
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COS
2 - 3
BBM
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FEN
3 - 4
COS
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
HCB
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
MDM
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LIC
1 - 1
COS
40%
30%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |