CAF Champions 1/16
Global 4-3
Ferroviário Beira vs Zimamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.2%
2-0
19.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13%
3.4%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ZIM
2 - 1
FER
7%
15%
78%
|
69 | 13 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
HCB
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
LIG
50%
28%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HCB
0 - 1
FER
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
FEN
54%
28%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zimamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ZIM
2 - 1
FER
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | 0 |