CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Ferroviário Beira vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 1
FER
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
FER
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
QUE
56%
26%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
FER
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
USM
1 - 1
DTA
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
HUS
1 - 1
USM
34%
30%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
USM
2 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
USM
4 - 1
ALK
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
MER
1 - 5
USM
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |