CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Ferroviário Beira vs BYC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
LIC
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DES
2 - 1
FER
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
ZIM
84%
13%
3%
|
68 | 14 | 54 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ZIM
2 - 1
FER
7%
15%
78%
|
69 | 13 | 56 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FER
2 - 1
HCB
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
BYC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
MCL
0 - 0
BYO
49%
26%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BYO
6 - 0
INV
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
STA
1 - 0
BYO
75%
18%
8%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BYO
1 - 0
STA
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
BYO
1 - 2
FAS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |