Ferroviária vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FER
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 2
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
INT
0 - 1
XVD
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
76%
15%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 1
SER
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
XVD
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |