Ferroviária vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FER
5 - 1
TCW
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
FER
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 0
BAN
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 2
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATI
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOR
43%
28%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 0
VEL
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAP
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |