Ferroviária vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 2
FER
26%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 3
FER
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
FER
0 - 2
MIR
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FER
0 - 1
XVD
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FER
2 - 0
NOR
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 2
LIN
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
PEN
31%
27%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
XVD
3 - 2
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |