Ferroviária vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SEP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
VEL
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |