Série D Brazil Ronda final Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Ferroviária vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ESP
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
FER
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 1
UNI
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SDJ
0 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
22%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |