Ferroviária vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
FER
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 0
BAN
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 3
FER
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 3
CAS
17%
23%
60%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 0
TCW
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
0 - 2
CAB
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAB
1 - 0
TCW
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |