Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 0
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 1
SER
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SER
0 - 3
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 3
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |