Ferroviária vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 5
FER
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
FER
4 - 0
BAT
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
FER
19%
24%
56%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
RIO
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
COM
4 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAT
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
4 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAO
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |