Ferroviária vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FER
0 - 3
XVD
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
XVD
18%
25%
56%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
COM
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
INT
3 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |