Ferroviária vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
FER
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 1
FER
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 3
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 2
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 3
RIO
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |