Ferroviária vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 2
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
MIR
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
24%
27%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
MIR
21%
25%
55%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 2
FER
24%
27%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |