Ferroviária vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 4
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 4
BOT
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
VOT
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAT
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
COM
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIR
16%
21%
63%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
87%
11%
3%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |