Ferroviária vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
FER
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SEP
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
SAO
51%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
0 - 0
FER
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
4 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |