Ferroviária vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FER
0 - 2
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
RBB
3 - 2
FER
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FER
0 - 3
RBB
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
RIO
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
RIO
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
COR
5 - 1
RIO
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAN
11%
18%
70%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |