Ferroviária vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
POR
16%
23%
62%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 2
RBB
33%
24%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
GRÊ
29%
24%
46%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
RIO
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |