Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Ferroviária vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RBB
0 - 2
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FER
2 - 2
NOV
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
SAO
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 2
FER
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RBB
0 - 2
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 3
RBB
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
MIR
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
2 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
RBB
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |