Ferroviária vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
FER
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
TAU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAP
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
FER
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
PRI
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
4 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |