Ferroviária vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 1
FER
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
FER
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FER
5 - 1
VEL
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 2
FER
26%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 3
FER
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MIR
4 - 2
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
PEN
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 3
FER
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |