Ferroviária vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
FER
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
ATI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 4
TCW
25%
23%
51%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 0
CAB
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
AEC
4 - 0
NPR
25%
20%
56%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAB
7 - 0
NPR
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NPR
6 - 0
AAB
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |