Ferroviária vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
OES
1 - 0
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FER
3 - 2
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
MIR
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 3
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |