Ferroviária vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 0
FER
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FER
3 - 4
RIO
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
FER
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
FER
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
31%
23%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
CAT
47%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |