Ferroviária vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FER
1 - 1
ASA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PPE
2 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
XVD
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
XVD
2 - 0
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 0
RBB
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
MIR
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 3
MIR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |