Ferroviária vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
FER
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
FER
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ITU
3 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITU
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
ITU
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
RBB
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 0
ITU
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |