Ferroviária vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 0
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
56%
23%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
2 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
AUD
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
COM
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FLA
4 - 2
IND
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
BAT
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
IND
0 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |