Ferroviária vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
BAT
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
RBB
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
GUA
42%
23%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |