Ferroviária vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
GRE
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 2
FER
24%
29%
47%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 0
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FER
67%
22%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
ECA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ECA
2 - 1
JEC
44%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 0
FER
20%
29%
51%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 2
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
ECA
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |