Ferroviária vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FER
1 - 0
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
FER
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
FER
30%
31%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
CIA
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
TUB
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
XVD
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
RIO
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
INT
0 - 0
DES
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DES
2 - 3
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |