Ferroviária vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 4
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 4
BOT
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
VOT
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
COM
1 - 4
VOT
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
COM
3 - 1
MIR
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
COM
30%
27%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |