Ferroviária vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FER
5 - 2
SAN
20%
25%
56%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 0
SAN
10%
20%
71%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
5 - 1
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAT
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |