Ferroviária vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
POR
64%
22%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 4
FER
16%
28%
56%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
AMF
1 - 0
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
FER
0 - 2
INT
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
INT
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 0
CAS
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 3
CAB
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATP
10%
22%
69%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ATP
5 - 1
CAS
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
RIO
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |