Ferroviária vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
FER
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
LIN
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
FER
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 5
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 2
CAP
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
0 - 0
CAP
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 1
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |