Série D Brazil Ronda final 1/16
Global 1-0
Ferroviária vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
FER
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FER
3 - 1
CAL
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
0 - 0
FER
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RIO
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
FER
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 1
BRA
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
BRA
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 3
URO
76%
17%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |