Ferroviária vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 5
FER
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
FER
4 - 0
BAT
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
FER
19%
24%
56%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
PAY
3 - 0
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRA
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 0
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
ATL
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |