Ferroviária vs Olímpia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 5
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
FER
2 - 0
JUV
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FER
0 - 2
INT
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 2
FER
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 5
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
OLI
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
VOT
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |