Ferroviária vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
4 - 1
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
FER
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 0
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
MIR
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |