Ferroviária vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
VOT
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 0
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRZ
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
87%
11%
3%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
BOT
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |