Ferroviária vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
79%
16%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 3
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
COM
53%
25%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 4
BOT
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
MIR
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
VOT
2 - 2
BAT
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAT
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |