Ferroviária vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 3
FER
29%
29%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
FER
3 - 1
CAB
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
2 - 6
FER
20%
28%
52%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
FER
0 - 0
CAS
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 3
FER
29%
29%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TCW
1 - 1
BAN
27%
26%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
NPR
1 - 2
BAN
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAB
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
BAN
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |